Market Timing

One from the most difficult tasks that traders have is determining the correct quantity of risk exposure when entering a trade. Since every trade must be accompanied by a protective stop-loss order, the question always boils down to “how much room should I encourage the market to move against me prior to getting stopped out?”

Some traders depend upon previous support and resistance levels as being a place to place their stops. However, often these areas are gunned for because floor traders understand that there are plenty of orders waiting there for that taking.

Some traders will draw lines below or higher sloping trends and make use of that being a stop-loss reference, often expecting the industry to continue with this pattern. But then, how frequently do we identify that pattern get violated right once we discover it truly is there?

Others make use of some percentage value, either dependant on some fixed profit expectation or maybe a percentage of funds available, to find out their initial stop-loss.

There a variety of different ways to picking a stop-loss. My personal preference and what I believe to get the best approach usually is to use the expected and confirmed swing price.

What do I mean by ‘expected and confirmed’ swing price?

As of 2019, it’s been 30 years that I have dedicated to the science and mathematics of market behavior. More specifically, forecasting market swings (aka turns) upfront. This approach needs a firm comprehension of several strategies to forecasting, for example the popular and well-exposed techniques involving Fibonacci and Gann ratios, to mention just two. There are so many more!

By learning and applying various market timing techniques that hopefully will expose the main cyclic behavior on the markets, the trader might use this information to ‘shorten the danger exposure’ of the given trade.

Here is just how this works.

Suppose by means of using some proven means of determining high-probability market turns you get through the expectation that your swing bottom is especially likely to happens to the next day or two (for the very latest). Your technique is usually 80% or better in accuracy, which means you do not have to bother about whether it is going to be on time (say tomorrow), or one day late (the very next day).

The basis for this is that, as you are already know which has a high amount of certainty on the probability for that swing bottom, simply place your ‘buy stop’ order for admission to go long just on top of the high price with the day you expect the swing that occurs. If the order is triggered, you immediately place your stop-loss just beneath the low of their same bar since it just ‘confirmed’ to be a swing bottom. Your initial risk exposure could be the range of this swing bottom price bar. The probability that it’s going to hold and never get you knocked out which has a loss is incredibly low simply because you knew with high-probability that this swing bottom was going to happen on that day to start with.

Now suppose that this swing bottom is going to become one bar late as earlier stated as you possibly can. In that case, your buy-stop had not been triggered and you may do the same routine in the morning for the one-day late bar. Same rules apply.

The real trick, when you are in your trade, is going to be on managing the trade and adjusting your stop-loss since your position moves deeper and deeper into profit territory. That is a completely subject for a entirely unique article. But with the subject taking place, choosing the best time and price to use on your initial stop-loss order where it can be not too small or too large it isn’t just also important, however it can save you a lot of cash, make you stay in more trades, and help keep you out of trades you later are glad about.


Financial Literacy

In my early encounters with both seasoned and newbies in financing for development, documenting and reporting within the outreach and communication, it became obvious we now have huge misunderstandings on both sides with the aisle (donors-investors and recipients)… Specific to sub-Saharan Africa, and a larger extent other regions in the world, when expectations will not be communicated, roles left to assumption, this may jeopardize the “relationship” in this framework. Whether risks are downplayed or returns overblown, it’s my role to reasonably define key required each parties make certain the Plan forward is well understood and updated as required.

In today’s sub-Saharan Africa’s investment needs framework, it’s likely that opportunity gap are going to be affecting not enough performance in areas highly generally known as much widely used so that local livelihoods count on. Basic infrastructure in food, agriculture, health insurance and education has been provisioned without much relation to medium and long lasting impacts or perhaps in sync to local private actors’ interests. The lost decades of increase in the seventies, when i was in part allotted to such poor planning cycles from donors’ perspectives.

Due to early stage’ markets in sub-Saharan Africa, investors in many cases are made up of local entrepreneurs, with hardly any trans-border participation in these business opportunities. Endogenous investors often gain from residual setbacks and unfulfilled demands from donors’ investments. Despite, the African food store expanding with estimates showing that it is going to be worth US$1 trillion by 2030 up on the current US$300 billion. Key challenges remain to allow optimal transition of these enterprises into thriving businesses.

Recipients representing most 90% on the development aid resources are poised, with hardly any preparation, to meet up with the delicate task of producing the grains and harvesting it with aid of women and families within a typical smallholders’ farmer settings. On that note, interest in food is also projected to a minimum of double by 2050.

These trends, combined with continent’s food import bill, estimated with a staggering US$30-50 billion, indicate that the opportunity exists for smallholder farmers, already producing 80% from the food we eat.

At this Juncture, there may be obviously no interaction between donor’s perspective, entrepreneurs and beneficiaries. Wherever resource allocation is sought to being made, because of skills scarcity and institutional instability, better outreach and communication must be conducted for sake of ownership and therefore accountability in project deliverables…


Why Is Cryptocurrency So Popular?

Bitcoin may be the buzz word within the financial space. As of dependent on fact, Bitcoin has exploded the scene inside the last number of years and many people and several large companies are actually jumping about the Bitcoin or cryptocurrency bandwagon wanting some the action.

People are total a new comer to the cryptocurrency space are constantly asking this question; “What is Bitcoin really?”

Well, firstly bitcoin is in reality a digital currency that falls beyond the control of any federal, it’s used worldwide, which enables it to be used to purchase items like your food, your beverages, property, cars, along with things.

Why is Bitcoin extremely important?

Bitcoin isn’t susceptible to stuff like governmental control and fluctuations inside inside the foreign currencies. Bitcoin is backed with the full faith of (you) anyone and it’s strictly peer-to-peer.

This means anyone complete transactions with Bitcoin, the very first thing they realize is always that it’s a lot cheaper to utilize than attempting to send money from bank to bank or using some other services in existence that requires sending and receiving money internationally.

For example, if I wished to send money to say China or Japan I would must have a incur of fee at a bank and yes it would take hours as well as days for your fee that cash to get there.

If I use Bitcoin, I can practice it easily from my wallet or my cellular phone or a computer instantaneously with no of those fees. If I desired to send one example is gold and silver it will require many guards it’d take a considerable time and a lot of money to advance bullion from point out point. Bitcoin can undertake it again which has a touch of the finger.

Why do people want to utilize Bitcoin?

The primary reason is because Bitcoin could be the answer to these destabilized governments and situations where financial resources are no longer as valuable it was once. The money we have now; the paper fiat currency that’s inside our wallets is worthless plus a year from now it will be worth even less.

We’ve even seeing major companies showing interest inside blockchain technology. A few weeks ago, a survey decided to a small amount of Amazon customers whether would be serious about using a cryptocurrency if Amazon creates one. The results from that demonstrated that many were very interested. Starbucks even hinted regarding the use of the blockchain mobile app. Walmart has even requested a patent using a “smart package” that may utilize the blockchain technology to trace and authenticate packages.

Throughout our lifetime we’ve seen many changes occur from just how we shop, how we watch free movies online, the best way we pay attention to music, read books, buy cars, search for homes, now the way you spend money and banking. Cryptocurrency can be used to stay. If you haven’t already, it’s the perfect time for anyone absolutely study cryptocurrency and be able to take full advantage of this trend which is going to continue to thrive throughout time.


What Is a Cryptocurrency?

A cryptocurrency or cryptocurrency (cryptocurrency in the Saxon) is really a virtual currency that serves to change goods and services by way of a system of electronic transactions and never having to go through any intermediary. The first cryptocurrency that started trading was Bitcoin last year, and also since then a good many others have emerged, to features including Litecoin, Ripple, Dogecoin, while others.

What could be the advantage?

When comparing a cryptocurrency while using money in the ticket, the gap is that:

They are decentralized: they may not be controlled with the bank, the federal government and any financial institution
Are Anonymous: your privacy is preserved when creating transactions
They’re International: everyone’s opera with them
They are secure: your coins are yours and from who else, it’s kept in the right wallet with non-transferable codes that only you know
It doesn’t have intermediaries: transactions are executed from person to person
Quick transactions: to transmit money abroad they charge interest and quite often it takes days to ensure; with cryptocurrencies only a few minutes.
Irreversible transactions.
Bitcoins and then other virtual currency may be exchanged for just about any world currency
It should not be faked since they are encrypted that has a sophisticated cryptographic system
Unlike currencies, the price of electronic currencies is susceptible to the oldest rule in the market: supply and demand. “Currently it features a value of greater than 1000 dollars and like stocks, this value can go up or around the supply and demand.

What would be the origin of Bitcoin?

Bitcoin, could be the first cryptocurrency developed by Satoshi Nakamoto during the past year. He made a decision to launch a fresh currency

Its peculiarity is always that you can only perform operations inside network of networks.

Bitcoin describes both the currency as well as the protocol plus the red P2P which it relies.

So, precisely what is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is often a virtual and intangible currency. That is, you should not touch any one its forms just like coins or bills, and you can use it a methods of payment just like as these.

In some countries you are able to monetize through an electronic debit card page which make money exchanges with cryptocurrencies like XAPO. In Argentina, for instance, we have over 200 bitcoin terminals.

Undoubtedly, why Bitcoin totally different from traditional currencies and also other virtual method of payment like Amazon Coins, Action Coins, is decentralization. Bitcoin will not be controlled by any government, institution or financial entity, either state or private, for example the euro, controlled because of the Central Bank or Dollar with the Federal Reserve in the United States.

In Bitcoin control the important, indirectly by their transactions, users through exchanges P2 P (Point to Point or Point to Point). This structure as well as the lack of control can make it impossible for virtually any authority to govern its value or cause inflation by producing more quantity. Its production and value is dependant on the law of supply and demand. Another interesting detail in Bitcoin features a limit of 21 million coins, which is to be reached in 2030.


Uganda-Tanzania Pipeline Project and How to Participate

The East African oil pipeline (or even the Uganda-Tanzania pipeline) may be the talk in the town now. Not only in East Africa but around the world.

The construction with this pipeline is officially on. Social and resettlement planning services have already been undertaking it in Tanzania.

The sad the fact is that people haven’t heard of the business opportunities for sale in the project.

More and more people keep wondering the opportunities emerging within this project are and ways in which they can be part of it.

“Do they give equipment or provide services?” they ask themselves.

If that you are among these people trying to do business in this particular projects but do not know how to get started, then you should not worry.

This article explains some opportunities for sale in the project and ways in which you can participate so that you are able to reap an important profit.

The Uganda-Tanzania Pipeline Opportunities

Pipes and connection supplies: One from the opportunities with this project is usually to supply and manufacture seamless tubes and pipes (LSAW) plus supplying steel pipes.

Chemical Supplies: For the construction on the pipelines, there are tons of specialty chemicals needed, from corrosion inhibitors additives to scale remover to chemicals that reduce paraffin increase. You cannot manage a pipeline without these matters, and you are able to get them from China really cheap. Which means your profit margin may increase by 30-50 percent.

Pipeline equipment supplies: These cover all materials that happen to be required within the pipeline transportation system. It includes fittings, valves, scraper traps, insulating flanges, flow tee, pumping station, etc.

Civil engineering works: These include building construction work, construction and repair of roads, construction and repair off drainage system, etc.

Pipeline inspection services.

Food supply.

Security services.

Are you willing to utilize opportunities with this project? Here is how to get the opportunities:

  1. Identify deciding makers and influencers on this Uganda-Tanzania pipeline project.

The 1st step in pursuing opportunities within the Uganda-Tanzania pipeline is determining who the choice makers are.

Decision makers will be the people who will approve or disapprove your proposal.

No matter what size a company is, you’ll find decision makers who are able to approve or disapprove documents.

This can be achieved by looking into making a list of key players from the project and commencing to build lasting relationship together.

  1. Demonstrate your experience.

You should demonstrate that you might be the right person to try and do the project you’re proposing.

You should demonstrate your capability plus your experiences in executing similar project.

“What if my offer is small, and new n a?” you might ask.

Well, the correct answer is pretty simple. You still have to be able to tap opportunities inside the Uganda-Tanzania pipeline project.

If your business is smaller than average and new, therefore you don’t have any experience or working history to get taken as references for the service you would like to render, you should think of going into a joint venture through an experienced contractor inside oil and gas industry in these bidding venture. However inexperienced, you still have to be able to participate with this work.


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